Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 2.762332 2.949582 3.149463 3.379796 3.639283 3.924226 4.263087
2025-12-21 2.479513 2.735415 3.024197 3.378183 3.806078 4.314352 4.976152
2025-12-28 2.297843 2.586747 2.924411 3.355442 3.902238 4.589569 5.548771
2026-01-04 2.122062 2.422028 2.781221 3.253105 3.873224 4.686882 5.886605
2026-01-11 2.021345 2.336655 2.722859 3.244323 3.953641 4.925461 6.443649
2026-01-18 1.966348 2.301570 2.721436 3.304221 4.125703 5.304320 7.268109
2026-01-25 2.062524 2.462217 2.981081 3.734781 4.863677 6.622188 9.935087
2026-02-01 1.934137 2.321226 2.828641 3.575069 4.712606 6.528272 10.083245
2026-02-08 1.811559 2.182018 2.670886 3.396338 4.515377 6.332653 9.991785
2026-02-15 1.745480 2.115266 2.608768 3.352044 4.522700 6.482107 10.630940
2026-02-22 1.673266 2.036858 2.526145 3.271275 4.463459 6.505846 11.006735
2026-03-01 1.602698 1.957865 2.438972 3.178143 4.375875 6.467144 11.232901
2026-03-08 1.524582 1.871267 2.345052 3.081719 4.296245 6.473551 11.678823
2026-03-15 1.479608 1.829317 2.313808 3.081306 4.381925 6.815780 13.128234
2026-03-22 1.433519 1.783137 2.273094 3.061675 4.430225 7.090999 14.542302
2026-03-29 1.372320 1.712891 2.193293 2.973565 4.346555 7.077184 15.096387
2026-04-05 1.337363 1.678447 2.164627 2.965990 4.408388 7.387882 16.896808
2026-04-12 1.320244 1.668635 2.171953 3.017610 4.586118 7.998467 20.304014
2026-04-19 1.378745 1.771245 2.356477 3.386112 5.444250 10.583621 37.888680
2026-04-26 1.318546 1.695266 2.257849 3.249934 5.240705 10.249283 37.517967
2026-05-03 1.257557 1.616529 2.152397 3.096823 4.990123 9.744514 35.469959
2026-05-10 1.224943 1.579473 2.111912 3.058760 4.985759 9.969917 39.780523
2026-05-17 1.187308 1.533723 2.055823 2.989228 4.906029 9.953408 42.148905